Carry out an anticipatory analysis

Learn the method, develop an analysis or facilitate a workshop.

Suggested resources

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Anticipatory analysis field guide

Learn the anticipatory analysis method, develop your own working session or use the facilitation material to run a workshop.

Choose the learning, working-session or workshop section to suit your task. Export a JSON backup to restore your session later, and export or print the analysis in Markdown. Fictional examples are separate learning material.

Not geography-specific
Status not documented

Using these resources

Frame the question, examine evidence and assumptions, and use the guide to structure discussion about what could happen. Document uncertainty and review the analysis as conditions change. Qualitative labels and workshop votes support discussion; the guide does not compute risk scores or automatically select priorities.

Supporting resources

Method toolkit R

fermi

For a separate quantitative estimation question, break an uncertain quantity into smaller components and explore a range of outcomes.

Requires R and is under development. You supply the assumptions and how quantities combine; this is an optional estimation method, not an integrated stage of the field guide.

Not geography-specific
In development